Chaze215, I hate to be the one to say it but remember katrina? They didnt issue mandatory evacuations till it was too late.
NJ isn't below sea level, nor does it have levees (or the incompetent engineers that built them).
Chaz, right now, the storm is projected to touch down near Atlantic City, with 80 mph winds, but you're a bit North of that, which should drop your wind speeds a tiny bit. How close are you to water? If you're not on high-ish ground, then you might want to evacuate, although the area is shaping up to see less precipitation then it did during Irene. If you saw 6" during Irene, you might see 4" for Sandy.
As far as the storm surge goes.... the East section of Tom's River has a 10% chance of hitting 10 feet and a 50% chance of hitting 5 feet. Like I said, if you not at any kind of elevation, I'd hit the road.
One other thing to consider is that the storm is supposed to take a turn, and that turns can be a bit trickier to predict than straight courses. It could end up a bit north of the current target (bad for you) or south (better for you). They're also predicting a slight strengthening (75 mph now, but 80 by landfall), but that could, imo, change as well.
A lot can happen between tonight and tomorrow morning, and, if things take a turn for the worse, there should still be plenty of time for you to evacuate. On Friday, Toms River was pretty much in the predicted path's crosshairs, but, as I said, the target is now AC. It also seems to be a tiny bit weaker than they were predicting. Hopefully it will end up being even weaker than they're expecting by the time it reaches land.
